Phillies vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 5

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Phillies vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 5

Updated Jul. 5, 2025, 4:00 p.m. ET

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to Trea Turner for continued offensive production when they face TJ Friedl and the Cincinnati Reds this Saturday. phdream22.com The Reds have been listed as +157 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Phillies (-189). abc jili casino login registration Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +112 odds), with the total for the contest set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Reds game, including the run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks. Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Phillies vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 5, 2025, at 4:05 p.m. ET

Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSOH

Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds

Phillies -189 +157 8.5 -120 -101 -1.5 +112 -133

Phillies vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Reds 3

Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Reds 45%

Phillies vs. Reds Betting Insights

The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 68 times this season, winning 44 of those games, which is a 64.7% success rate. Philadelphia boasts a record of 17-2 when favored by -189 or more with sportsbooks this season, achieving an impressive 89.5% win rate. The bookmakers’ moneyline suggests a 65.4% chance of the Phillies securing a victory.

On the other hand, the Reds have clinched victory in 27 of their 50 contests as underdogs this year, amounting to a 54% win rate. Cincinnati has managed to win one of six games when listed as at least +157 or worse on the moneyline. According to oddsmakers, the Reds have an implied victory probability of 38.9% for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies went 2-2 in the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups. During these outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times. The team has a record of 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total

Record: 4-6

Runs Per Game: 3.6

Home Runs: 10

ERA: 2.72

K/9: 10

Phillies Player Insights

Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 26 home runs and 60 runs batted in, placing him fifth in the majors for homers and 11th in RBIs. Trea Turner leads the team with a .299 batting average, ranking 79th in home runs and 86th in RBIs among all hitters in the majors. Turner has recorded hits in four straight games and is hitting .300 in his last five appearances with two walks and two RBIs.

Nick Castellanos is batting .278 with 22 doubles, one triple, 11 home runs, and 20 walks. He has at least one base hit in two consecutive games, hitting .263 in his last five with a double, two homers, two walks, and five RBIs. Meanwhile, Alec Bohm is hitting .282 with 12 doubles, two triples, seven home runs, and 18 walks, riding a six-game hitting streak.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U

Otto Kemp: 0.5 (-200), 1.5 (+135), -, 0.5 (+180)

Kyle Schwarber: 0.5 (-195), 1.5 (+110), -, 0.5 (+135)

J.T. Realmuto: 0.5 (-230), 1.5 (+125), -, 0.5 (+175)

Bryce Harper: 0.5 (-225), 1.5 (+120), -, 0.5 (+155)

Trea Turner: 1.5 (+160), 1.5 (-120), -, 0.5 (+155)

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games, winning five of those contests. In their last 10 games with a set total, the Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times. Cincinnati has a record of 6-4-0 against the spread in their last 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total

Record: 6-4

Runs Per Game: 5.3

Home Runs: 8

ERA: 4.60

K/9: 8.3

Reds Player Insights

Elly De La Cruz stands out with the team-leading 18 home runs and 60 RBIs, placing him 19th in the majors for home runs and 11th in RBIs. TJ Friedl is currently leading the lineup with a suwerte 99.283 batting average, ranking 142nd in homers and 137th in RBIs among all MLB batters. Spencer Steer contributes with 14 doubles, one triple, 10 home runs, and 23 walks while batting .256, and Gavin Lux has a .269 average with 16 doubles, one triple, four homers, and 36 walks.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U

Santiago Espinal: 0.5 (-230), 1.5 (+140), -, 0.5 (+260)

Matt McLain: 0.5 (-215), 1.5 (+135), -, 0.5 (+220)

Elly De La Cruz: 0.5 (-225), 1.5 (+130), -, 0.5 (+185)

Austin Hays: 0 betso88 login register philippines.5 (-220), 1.5 (+125), -, 0.5 (+165)

Tyler Stephenson: -, -, -, –

Reds vs. Phillies Highlights

Check out the best moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar. Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams, and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

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